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I would have to fit everything I was taking (except the water) into the two smaller dry bags. This meant leaving both my sleeping pad and sleeping bag behind (along with some of my clothes), and bringing only a small fleece blanket to keep me warm at night. With lows forecast to be 60 degrees for both of the next two nights, I figured this would probably be okay. If I had it to do over again, I'd bring the sleeping bag even if it meant leaving the food behind, but more on that later.
I repacked the dry bags, got them into the kayak, moved my car into the 14-day parking lot, hiked back down to the marina, and I was in the water by quarter after one.
Here's the thing: in country as rugged as this, a small change in lake level can dramatically change the shoreline. The level of Lake Powell has been down for years, and there is no particular reason to think it is ever going to come back up, but they keep printing maps with this fantasy shoreline. Both of the brand-new lake maps I bought showed the no-longer-existant shoreline. Even the online maps happily show you where the water is "supposed" to be, instead of where it actually is.
What I was told first by the souvenir salesman in Winslow, and now confirmed by the boat rental guy, is that the passage between Castle Rock and Antelope Island, which connects Wahweap Bay to Warm Creek Bay, was completely dried out. Antelope Island isn't an island any more, it is now a peninsula.
Here is a photograph of Castle Rock I took from my kayak; it has been computer-enhanced to highlight the
problem:
the bright green line shows the surface level of the lake. The dark green line shows
where the lake's surface is "supposed" to be.
The magenta line highlights land that is "supposed" to be under water.

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